CAUSE

One question. One truth.

“Why is the monsoon unpredictable?”

Climate change is the primary driver of monsoon unpredictability, disrupting ocean-atmosphere-land interactions and causing shifts in temperature, moisture, and circulation. This increases monsoon variability and the frequency of extreme events.

Medium confidenceStructural

CURRENT STATE

Erratic monsoon behavior is increasing, with longer dry spells, intense downpours, and uneven rainfall distribution across India. Shifts in monsoon circulation and increased variability are linked to warming seas, with some regions facing floods while others experience droughts.

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